
Publisher´s
summary, Edward Elgar, UK
Chris Freeman,
SPRU, University of Sussex, UK
W. Brian
Arthur, Santa Fe Institute, US
Richard
Nelson, Columbia University, US
William
Janeway, Warburg Pincus, US
Michael
Mauboussin, CSFB, US
Enrique Garcia,
President CAF
Ignacio Avalos,
Independent consultant, Venezuela
Morley Lipsett,
Centre for Policy Research on S&T, Canada
Erik Reinert,
The Other Canon and University of Oslo, Norway
Bertrand
M. Roehner, University of Paris
Raphie Kaplinsky,
IDS and CENTRIM, UK
Manuel
Castells, University of California-Berkeley
and Universitat Oberta of Catalunya
Edmund A
Mennis, Investment Management Consultant,
Palos Verdes Estates, California, former editor
of Business Economics
Mardi Dungey,
Australian National University
Links
to references or interviews in business journals:
The
Economist, Business Week, Business 2.0 and Strategy+Business
Other
relevant links:
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A bold interpretation
of how the changing relationship between technological
advances and financial capital shapes the pattern of economic
cycles, this path-breaking book will provide essential
insights for business leaders, policymakers, academics
and others concerned with managing change in the world
economy.
Technological
Revolutions and Financial Capital presents a novel interpretation of the good and bad
times in the economy, taking a long-term perspective and
linking technology and finance in an original and convincing
way.
Carlota
Perez draws upon Schumpeter’s theories of the clustering
of innovations to explain why each technological revolution
gives rise to a paradigm shift and a ‘New Economy’ and
how these ‘opportunity explosions’, focused on specific
industries, also lead to the recurrence of financial bubbles
and crises. These findings are illustrated with examples
from the past two centuries: the industrial revolution,
the age of steam and railways, the advent of steel and
electricity, the emergence of mass production and automobiles,
and the more recent era of the information age/knowledge
society.
By
analyzing the changing relationship between finance capital
and production capital during the emergence, diffusion
and assimilation of new technologies throughout the global
economic system, this seminal book sheds new light on
some of the most pressing economic problems of
today.
- Publisher's
summary
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‘It was Carlota Perez in the early 1980s, who
designated the major changes in technology systems, such
as mechanization, electrification or computerization,
as "changes of techno-economic paradigm" a designation
which has since been widely adopted. In this book she
offers many new insights into these complex processes
of social, economic and technological change. She traces
the interactions between that part of the economy commonly
known as "financial capital" and the evolution
of technologies. Although this was an important aspect
of Schumpeter’s original work, it has been neglected by
his followers, so that the book fills an important gap
in the literature on business cycles and innovations.
I most strongly commend it to all those attempting to
understand the past and future evolution of technology
and the economy.’
– From the preface by Christopher
Freeman, Emeritus Professor of Science Policy,
SPRU – Science and Technology Policy Research, University
of Sussex, UK
and MERIT, Maastricht University, The Netherlands
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‘Before I read this book I thought that the
history of technology was – to borrow Churchill’s phrase
– merely “one damned thing after another”. Not so. Carlota
Perez shows us that historically technological revolutions
arrive with remarkable regularity, and that economies
react to them in predictable phases. Her argument provides
much needed perspective not just on history, but on our
own times. And especially on our own information revolution.’
– W.
Brian Arthur, Citibank Professor, Santa Fe
Institute, New Mexico, US
|
'This
is a fascinating book, well worth reading, and reflecting
on.'
- Review in The Journal of Socio- Economics, August
2003 by
Richard
R. Nelson, George Blumenthal Professor of International
and Public Affairs,
Columbia University, New York, US
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'The dynamics of capitalism are driven by the intersection
of the development and deployment of transformational
technologies and the behavior of financial institutions
and markets, yet for both historians and theoreticians
these two domains have been virtually walled off from
each other since Schumpeter. Now Carlota Perez has defined
a frame of reference for analyzing the recurring cycles
of boom and bust that characterize the past 250 years
of economic development, one that calls to mind the
synthetic vision of Fernand Braudel's great work on
Capitalism and Civilization. In doing so, Carlota Perez
has also provided a road map to relevance both for scholars
and investors who, having survived the Great Bubble
of 1999-2000, must needs concern themselves with what
happens next.'
-William
Janeway, Vice Chairman, Warburg Pincus, US
Founder CERF,
Cambridge [University] Endowment for Research in Finance,
UK
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'…an excellent job of showing the interplay between innovation
and capital markets.'
- Michael
Mauboussin, Managing Director Equity Research, Credit
Suisse/First Boston
Adjunct professor of finance at Columbia University Graduate
School of Business, New York
|
'Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital" is the
crystallization of a sustained research effort undertaken
by the author for more than twenty years, examining the
role of new technologies in socio- economic development
processes across the world... 'In the early eighties Carlota
Perez had already acquired recognition in international
circles involved with technological and industrial development,
innovation, etc. Her pioneering 1983 article about the
role of microelectronics in global economic development
became the unavoidable reference for anyone approaching
the study of that theme. The field of study she helped
create, in relation to this phenomenon, has grown through
the years, and she is widening it now to incorporate the
way in which financial capital participates in the emergence,
promotion, difusion and depletion of each technological
revolution and of the new techno-economic paradigm that
accompanies it...
'It is a great contribution to the understanding of the
interaction between financial capital and technological
progress. ...it represents an interesting challenge for
organizations such as CAF and its stockholder countries
while it helps fulfill one of the new objectives of this
multilateral institution in the sense of designing our
own agenda for development, with an integral vision, capable
of helping us move forward in the promotion of competitiveness
and in facilitating an equitable insertion of Latin Merica
in the world economy.'
-Enrique
García, President of CAF (Andean Development
Corporation)
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'Carlota Perez... is a perceptive and unique
observer of the mutations that characterize the economy
at present, but she fulfills this task from a standpoint
that seems to have been forgotten by most professional
economists, absorbed as they usually are by the complicated
details of the conjuncture, unable to look up and encompass
the scene a few months ahead. Her book, the fruit of an
admirable stubbornness, mellowed in the course of at least
three decades, is an interpretation of history in connection
with long term technological transformations, inspired
in Schumpeter´s ideas...
'Carlota
Perez' writings are organized... around her concept of
techno-economic paradigm, which shows the mesh of causes
and consequences among technology, politics, society and
culture. It is a concept with an enormous explanatory
power and with the important virute of being also an effective
antidote for technological determinism...
'...this book is in my view -being sure not to exaggerate-
indispensable reading for anyone trying to understand
the world that it has been our lot to live in.'
-Ignacio
Avalos, International Consultant, former President of
CONICIT, Venezuela
|
'Perez provides a fresh analysis of technological, financial
and social booms and busts in an engaging and refreshing
way. The book weaves a compelling new fabric of observation
and theory, and shows that something can be done to learn
from, anticipate, and deal constructively with the tribulations
of interlinked technological, economic and social change.
It does so concisely and in an idiom that bridges abstract
economic theory with tangible human history and experience.
If it is brought to their attention - as it should - this
compact book will give hope to those scholars, students
and policy analysts who wonder what really happened in
the cybertechnology/internet gold-rush prior to 2001 and
what could possibly lie ahead.'
-
From 'Ships, chips and whatever is next', review in Science
and Public Policy, October 2002, pp. 397-8
by Morley
Lipsett, Centre for Policy Research on Science
and Technology,
Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, Canada
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'While the growing literature of neo-Schumpeterian economics
has focused on technological change, Carlota Perez' book
brings back Schumpeter, the scholar of finance. Not only
that, Perez manages to remarry for the first time two
main aspects of Schumpeter's work, technological change
and finance, in a historical account which is both sweeping
and profound. The result is a book with important and
urgent messages for economic policy, also in the developing
countries that experience the peripheral effects of the
powerful systems of innovation and finance in the core
countries. This book provides a qualitative understanding
that is needed for a better economic policy.'
- Erik
Reinert, The
Other Canon and SUM,
Centre for Development and the Environment, University
of Oslo, Norway
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'The
financial captains - in Tom Wolfe's memorable phrase,
"the Masters of the Universe" - would be well-served by
this dose of history. So, too, would the leaders of productive
capital, as they struggle to add value in a frenzy of
financial speculation. And as for policy-makers, the answer
is obvious - Perez's insights are not just important;
they are urgent...
'Do read the book. It is important. It is accessible.
It is well presented. Its also fun.'
- Raphie
Kaplinsky, IDS,
University of Sussex and CENTRIM,
University of Brighton, UK
From Review in Technovationn
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'As
regards the relationship between technology, the economy
and society, Carlota Perez is one of the world's most
innovative researchers. In this book she presents a systematic
analysis of those interactions, empirically grounded and
theoretically coherent, centered on the dynamics of financial
capital, as the strategic instrument of globalization.
It is a fundamental work to understand the structural
transformations of the economy and society in the information
age.'
Manuel
Castells, University of California-Berkeley
and Universitat Oberta of Catalunya
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'…a
book that will stretch the imagination, broaden the horizons,
and challenge the thinking of the business economist immersed
in his daily tasks, this book is worth time invested in
reading it.' Book
review Oct, 2003, Business
Economics
Edmund
A. Mennis, Investment Management Consultant,
Palos Verdes Estates, California
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'…filled
with exactly the same enthusiasm and considered thought
that enlivens her conversation. It is one of the most
enjoyable economics books I have read for some time.' Book Review in Economic Record, September 2004,
80 (250), p.354-355
Mardi
Dungey, Economics Division, Research School
of Pacific and Asian Studies,
Deputy-Director Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis,
Australian National University
|
See
also references to the book in the following business
journals:
May
8 Survey of the IT Industry: Paradise
Lost, pp. 3-4, in the May 10th-16th
2003 issue of The Economist. Separate Supplement
after p. 46
November
11 Survey of Outsourcing: Faster,
cheaper, better, pp. 10-12, in the
November 13th-19th 2004 issue of The Economist.
Separate Supplement after p. 68
Special
report: The
future of e-business; How E-Biz Rose, Fell, and Will Rise
Anew By Robert D. Hof and Steve Hamm in
the May 13, 2002 issue of Business Week, pp. 64-72
Is
the Information Revolution Dead? If history is a guide,
it is not
By W. Brian Arthur, March 2002 Issue of Business 2.0,
pp. 65-72
Cover
article by Robert D. Hof: Why
Tech Will Bloom Again, Business Week,
August 25, 2003, pp. 64-71
Is
Infotech all washed up? Business Week,
May 24th 2004
Carlota
Perez: The Thought Leader Interview by
Art Kleiner in Strategy+Business, Issue 41, Winter
2005, pp. 131-137 (download
.pdf 150K)
El
protagonismo de la tecnología, book
review by Patricia Fernández de Lis, in Spain's EL PAIS, Sunday, April 10, 2005, p. 4, Business
Section.
Interview in Bilbao's El Correo December 4, 2006
Other
relevant links:
Before
and after the bubble, in "The
opportunity", IBM 2004 Annual Report Prospectus
Anticipating
the future by looking at the past, by Irving Vladawsky-Berger,
August 2005
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Carlota
Perez is Honorary Research Fellow at SPRU – Science and Technology
Policy Research, University of Sussex, UK; Visiting Senior
Research Fellow 2003-05, CERF, Cambridge University, UK,
and International
Consultant and Lecturer on change strategies and technology
policy, Eureka A.C., Caracas.
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